- Page numbers followed by f and t refer to figures and tables, respectively.
A
- Abuse of power, share repurchase as, 300–301
- Active “performance” investing. See also Loser's game of active investing
- academic research on, 16–20, 120–121, 164
- added value from, 164, 194
- alternatives to, 80–81
- and behavioral economics, 28–30
- beliefs about, xiv, 35–37
- defined, 94
- ETFs and indexing vs., 164–165
- fees in, 9–10, 30–34, 77–79, 199–201, 273
- future of, 71, 87
- historical returns from, 273
- history of, 5–14, 75–79, 114–116
- indicators of “progress” in, 93–97
- by institutional investors, 127–131, 174
- for institutional investors, 37–38, 45, 75, 96–97, 115, 174
- investment guidelines on, 273–274
- justification of, 73–75, 84, 119–125
- for large funds, 94–97
- levels of decisions about, 64, 65, 161–162, 197
- liquidity in, 97
- manager selection policies for, 146
- market changes and, 20–28
- open operations in, 99–105
- portfolio diversification in, 167–170
- professional investors and end of, 111–117
- and profession vs. business of investment management, 77, 84–86
- rise and fall in popularity of, 73–87
- self-destruction of, 41–43, 93–97
- and social acceptance of innovation, 81–84
- successful investors in, 94–95
- as zero-sum game, 17, 81, 158
- Added value, 65, 164, 194
- Advertising of funds, 122
- A.G. Becker & Co., 76, 184
- Agent–principal conflict, 135
- Alternative investments, 147, 153–155
- Ambiguity effect, 28
- Amerada Petroleum Corporation, 292, 311
- American Funds, 174
- American Radiator Company, 311
- Analytic models, from other professions, 181–185
- Anti-trust policy, 315–323
- Bank Merger Act, 319–320
- Celler and Regulatory Agency Bills, 318–320
- history of, 316–320
- Justice Department's enforcement of, 317–323
- Sherman and Clayton Acts, 316–317
- Appearance and reality, 191–197
- of beating the market, 194–195
- Dad's lessons on differentiating, 191–192
- and investment counseling, 195–197
- and investment program creation, 66–68
- and key propositions in investment management, 192–193
- of manager performance, 193–194
- Armour, Tommy, 37, 39, 44, 65, 173–175
- Assets, fees as percentage of, 30–31, 52, 78, 116, 122–123, 199, 272
- Asset gathering, 54
- Asset growth, 186
- Asset mix:
- changing, 70
- counseling clients on, 195–196
- level of decisions about, 63, 65, 161, 196, 197
- and long-term success, 192
- for retirement funds, 249
B
- Baker Weeks, 200
- Balanced manager paradigm, 219
- Banks, pension management by, 8–9, 75–76, 200, 216
- Bank mergers, 315–323
- Bank Merger Act (1960), 319–321
- Bank of International Settlements, 261
- Barker, Robert, 144
- Base rate fallacy, 28
- Bear markets, 37, 152–153
- Beating the market, 33–34, 36
- in active investing, 74, 76, 112, 115, 131
- appearance and reality of, 193–195
- changing beliefs about, xiv, 20, 22–23
- defining mission as, 49–53
- investment guidelines on, 273–274
- liquidity and, 265–266, 266f
- in loser's game, 43–44
- rise of professional investors and, 114, 159
- Becker Securities, 38
- Behavioral economics, 28–30, 68–69
- Beliefs:
- about active investing, 35–37
- of investment committee members, 136
- in investment management field, xiv–xv
- resistance to changing, xv, 30, 35–36, 163, 245
- Bell System, 239
- Berkeley, George “Bishop,” 121, 236
- Berkshire Hathaway, 169, 174
- Berra, Yogi, 187
- Bismarck, Otto von, 234–235, 245
- Black swan events, 155
- Block transactions, 7, 8, 76, 105, 311
- Blue-chip stocks, 75, 115
- Board of Governors, Federal Reserve, 262, 318n9
- Bonds:
- capital preservation with, 257–258
- changing beliefs about, xiv–xv
- converting, to conservative common stock, 258–259
- for institutional investors, 144, 251–259
- investment guidelines on, 275
- for long-term investors, 251–259, 261–263
- and Prudent Man Rule, 252–253
- retirement funds invested in, 249, 261–263
- and risk of economic depression, 253–255
- yield on equities vs., 255–257, 262
- Boston Red Sox, 177
- Bower, Marvin, 208
- Broker research, 102–104
- Bronowski, Jacob, 282
- Bubbles, 186–187
- Buffett, Warren, 79, 169, 174, 179, 197, 223, 225, 237, 267, 272, 290
- Bull markets, 41, 115, 239
- Bunker-Ramo Corporation, 304
- Business managers, performance of, 25–26, 208
- Business of investment management:
- conflict between profession and, 119, 208
- ordering priorities for, 54–55
- performance investing and, 77, 84–86
- performance of, 159–160, 181
- success in, 213–214
- Business strategy, 209–210
C
- Capital gains, 288, 298
- Capital preservation, 100, 257–258
- Capital productivity, 100
- Capital structure, 308–311
- Cash drag, 158, 266
- Cash flow, stockholder standard for, 307
- Celler, Emmanuel, 318, 320
- Celler Bill, 318–320
- CFA Institute, xv, 282
- Chamberlain, Neville, 235
- Chartered Financial Analyst certification, 21–22, 21f, 50, 99, 113, 282
- Checking accounts, 61–62
- China, 111
- Choice-supportive bias, 28
- Christie, Agatha, 127, 139
- Chrysler Corporation, 302
- Churchill, Winston, 114
- Churchman, C.W., 204
- Clausewitz, Carl von, 222–224
- Clayton Antitrust Act, 317, 318, 320
- Clients, at successful firms, 91, 213
- Coca-Cola, 169
- College savings, 61–62
- Common stock. See also Share repurchases
- converting bond portfolios to, 258–259
- intrinsic value of, 284–285
- reducing outstanding shares of, 311
- retirement funds invested in, 249
- speculation in, 286–288
- yield on bonds vs., 255–257, 262
- Communication, 103, 104, 142–143, 210–211, 226
- Compensation, 124, 212–213
- Competent Stranger thought experiment, 278–279
- Competition:
- in active/performance investing, 97, 113–114
- as factor in antitrust decisions, 319–320, 322
- and following optimal investment policy, 69–71
- for investment firms, 207
- manager performance relative to, 158, 159, 175
- Compounding, 247–249, 275–276
- Comptroller of the Currency, 316, 318n9, 322
- “Computer People,” culture of, 203–206
- Computing Tabulating Recording Co., 286–287
- Confirmation bias, 28, 68
- Consolidated Gas of New York, 287
- Consolidation Coal Company, 302
- Cook, James, 183
- Corporate tax cut, 291–293
- Cost analysis, for share repurchase, 309–310
- Creative excellence, 92
- Credit card debt, 248–249
- Culture, 24, 84, 203–206
D
- Darwin, Charles, xv, 1, 2, 73, 81
- Data overload, 210–211
- Debt:
- credit card, 248–249
- share repurchase and, 300
- Debt–equity ratio, 308–309, 309t
- Decision making:
- about innovations, 82
- big decisions at investment firms, 92, 209–210
- Warren Buffett on, 169, 267, 272
- diary of, 271
- guidelines for, 275
- by investment committees, 101–102
- investment history as basis for, 273
- learning from past, 178–179
- levels of investor, 63–65, 161–162, 196–197
- managers' presentation of, 132
- J.P. Morgan on reasons for, 192
- pension funds' delegation of, 227–231, 228t, 229t
- and taking action, 174–175
- uncertainty in, 95
- Defeatism, share repurchase as, 299
- Defined-benefit pension plans, 57–58, 239, 240, 245–246
- Defined-contribution pension plans, 57, 58, 239–242, 245–246
- Depression, bonds and risk of, 253–255
- Derivatives, 201
- Diary of investment decisions, 271
- Dickens, Charles, 68
- Disney, 169
- Distribution (12-b) fees, 31–32, 79
- Diversification:
- guidelines on, 271–272
- with index funds, 16, 17
- for institutional investors, 58, 134, 146–148, 189
- for leaders of investment firms, 54–55
- for long-term investors, 262–263
- portfolio, 167–170, 189
- Dividend income, 255–257, 302
- DLJ (Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette), 200, 281
- Dodd, David, 155
- DOL (US Department of Labor), 239, 246
- Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette (DLJ), 200, 281
- Drucker, Peter, 89–92, 143, 160, 209
- Durand, David, 285
E
- Earnings per-share, 301, 305–308
- “Easy action,” 266–267
- Economy, benefits of active investing for, 123–125
- Efficient market hypothesis, 16. See also Market efficiency
- 80/20 Rule, 29–30, 84, 128
- Einstein, Albert, 277
- Emerson, Ralph Waldo, 130
- Emhart Manufacturing Co., 311
- Employee Retirement Income Security Act, see ERISA
- Employer matching, in retirement plan, 247
- Employer stock, 401(k) investments in, 240
- Employment Act (1946), 253–254
- Endowment funds:
- bond investments for, 251–259
- investment committees of, 137–138
- margin of safety for, 68
- Prudent Man Rule for trustees of, 252, 253
- Endowment model, 153–155
- Enron Corporation, 237, 240
- Equity capital, excess, 295–297, 301–304
- Equity mix, decisions about, 64, 161, 197
- ERISA (Employee Retirement Income Security Act), 228, 239, 246
- Errors:
- classic mistakes by investors, 274–275
- conformance to avoid, 185
- correcting investment professionals', 58–59
- in defining mission, 49–53
- diversification to protect against, 169
- in investment counseling, 55–58
- by investment professionals, 39, 47–59
- in ordering of priorities, 53–55
- ETFs, see Exchange-traded funds
- Evolution, theory of, 1, 73, 163, 164
- Exchanges of securities, 311
- Exchange-traded funds (ETFs):
- as alternative to active investing, 80
- fees and, 201–202
- growth of, 15, 15f, 85, 86f
- in winning strategy, 163–165
F
- Fairness, 212–213, 243–244
- Fama, Eugene, 16–17, 19, 32, 81
- Familiarity bias, 132
- Fastow, Andrew, 237
- Fat tails, probability curves with, 155
- FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation), 318n9, 319–320
- Federal Reserve, 261–262, 318n9
- Federal Trade Commission, 317
- Fees:
- in active/performance investing, 9–10, 30–34, 77–79, 199–201, 273
- appearance vs. reality of, 191, 196–197
- attracting good clients with high, 91–92
- changing views of, xiv, 2, 30–34, 189, 199–202
- defense of, for active investing, 122–123
- institutional, 200–201
- and institutional underperformance, 130–131
- investment guidelines on, 272–273
- mutual fund, 31, 32t, 67
- real measurements of, 52, 78–79
- at successful firms, 209
- 12b-1, 31–32, 79
- and value proposition for professional investors, 116
- Ferris, Richard, 18
- Ferry, John, 315–316
- Feynman, Richard, xiii, 316
- Fidelity, 75
- Financial security, in retirement, see Retirement security
- Fisher, Philip, 169
- Followers, 3
- Ford Foundation, 144
- Foreign earnings, corporate tax and, 292
- 401(k) plans:
- borrowing from, 248–249
- impact of delaying retirement on, 236
- investment advice for individuals with, 239–241, 246
- investment policy for individuals with, 66–67
- and multimarket multiproduct paradigm, 218
- Fundamental research, 289–290
- Fund executives, underperformance caused by, 135–136
G
- GEICO, 169
- General Fireproofing Company, 311
- General Motors, 8, 183, 216, 298
- Germany, retirement age in, 233–235, 245
- Girard Trust Corn Exchange Bank, 316, 322
- Globalization, 50, 123–124
- Global warming, 163–164
- Goal conflict, 119, 208
- Goldman Sachs, 295
- Governance, by investment committees, 139, 141–146
- Graham, Ben, 6–7, 68, 155, 281–290
- Grand Strategy, 221–226
- Great Depression, 61–62, 93
- Greenwich Associates, xv, 30, 89, 228–229
- Growth, firm, 211
- Growth liabilities, 228
H
- Hanna, Mark, 187
- Harlan, John Marshall, II, 316, 321, 322
- Harrison, John, 183
- Harvard Business School, xiii–xv, 269, 291, 315
- Hedge funds, 13–14, 13f, 50
- Heterophilous social systems, 4n5
- Hinton, Longstreet, 183
- Homophilous social systems, 4n5
I
- IBM, 287
- Illusion of skill, 24–26
- Illusion of validity, 130
- Incentives, for open operations, 105
- Income, dividend, 255–257, 302
- Income received, fees as percentage of, 9
- Incremental returns, fees as percentage of, xiv, 31–32, 52, 79, 116, 123, 200, 201, 273
- Indexing and index funds:
- academic evidence supporting, 16–20, 120–121
- as alternative to active investing, 80, 81
- and behavioral economics, 28–30
- changing beliefs about, xiv, 4–5
- costs of active management vs., 78–79
- fees and, 30–34, 131, 202
- growth of, 14–15, 83–85, 86f, 115–117
- historical returns from, 273
- for institutional investors, 151, 230
- investment guidelines on, 272
- investor decisions about, 64, 161, 197
- loser's game of active management vs., 43–44
- market changes favoring, 20–28
- in winning strategy, 163–165
- Index Participation Shares, 15n27
- Index replication, by active managers, 121–122, 168, 189
- Indian Head Mills, 308
- Individual investors. See also Long-term investors; Professional investors
- as amateurs, 158–159, 194
- bond investments for, 261–263
- classic mistakes of, 274–275
- liquidity for, 265–267
- successful, 94–95
- views on fees of, 199–202
- Individual retirement accounts (IRAs), 236
- Industrial corporations, share repurchase for, 295–296, 313
- Inflation, 254, 261–262
- Influentials, 2–3, 164
- Information:
- access to/distribution of, 50, 74, 111, 113, 188, 207
- Ben Graham on need for, 283–284
- in open operations, 102–103
- for performance investors, 94
- Informationless trading, 159, 194
- Innovation:
- dynamics of, 2–5, 82f, 164
- in portfolio management, 89–92
- social acceptance of, 81–84
- Innovators, 2–3, 164
- Insight on investment:
- from Tommy Armour, 173–175
- and developing your own plan, 171–172
- from Peter Drucker, 89–92
- for future generations, 269–276
- from Ben Graham, 281–290
- from Joseph K. Klingenstein, 109–110
- from Munich Marathon, 107–109
- at successful firms, 213
- from Ted Williams, 177–180
- Institutional fees, 200–201
- Institutional investors. See also Endowment funds; Pension funds
- active investing for, 37–38, 45, 75, 96–97, 115, 174
- bonds for, 144, 251–259
- dependency in decision making by, 3n4
- indexing by, 230
- investment committees of (see Investment committees)
- manager hiring/firing by, 129–130, 129f
- market influence of, 41–42, 201
- performance expectations of, 27, 80, 80f, 128
- trading volume for, 113–114, 194
- Institutional underperformance, 127–139, 141–142
- evidence of, 128–131
- fund executives as cause of, 135–136
- investment committees as cause of, 136–139
- investment consultants as cause of, 133–135
- investment managers as cause of, 132–133
- taking responsibility for, 139
- Insurance companies, 8–9, 75
- Intergenerational equity, 152
- International investments, xiv, 112–113, 112t, 150
- Intrinsic value, 284–286
- Investments. See also specific types
- performance of, as symptom of problem, 185–187
- selection of specific, 179–180
- time period for measuring performance of, 184–186
- turnover in, 224–225, 272
- Investment committees, 141–155
- endowment model for, 153–155
- in history of performance investing, 75
- institutional underperformance caused by, 136–139
- investing consultants and, 134–135
- investment objectives of, 144–146
- manager selection by, 51–52
- mission of, 143–144
- open operations vs. decisions from, 100–102
- self-evaluation by, 146–151
- spending rule for, 151–153
- structure of, 142–143
- Investment consultants:
- on alternative investments, 154
- committees' over-reliance on, 148–149
- institutional underperformance caused by, 133–135
- manager selection by, 10–11, 18–19, 133–135
- in specialist manager paradigm, 217
- Investment counseling:
- and appearance vs. reality of investment management, 195–197
- history of, 9
- on investment policy selection, 70–71
- and levels of investor decisions, 160–161
- moving away from, 48–49, 52–53, 55–58
- returning to, 189–190
- Investment firms:
- big decisions at, 209–210
- communication at, 210–211
- compensation at, 212–213
- defining success for, 213–214
- good ideas and clients at, 213
- Grand Strategy for, 221–226
- growth and expansion for, 211
- in history of active investing, 76–77
- laws to improve performance of, 90–92
- professional and business goals of, 208
- professional development at, 210
- service-centric strategies of, 58–59
- strategic considerations for, 209
- structure of, 90, 212
- successful, 207–214
- turnover at, 212
- Investment guidelines, 269–276
- on active management, 273–274
- and classic mistakes of investors, 274–275
- on diversification, 271–272
- on fees, 272–273
- on financial decision-making, 275
- on indexing, 272
- investment history, decisions based on, 273
- on investment programs, 274
- on long-term investing, 271
- on saving, 275
- stock prices, view of, 272
- on trading frequency, 272
- Investment horizon, 263. See also Long-term investors
- Investment management field. See also Business of investment management; Profession of investment management
- and analytic models for other professions, 181–185
- appearance vs. reality in, 191–197
- behavioral economics and, 28–30
- changes in, xiv–xv, 1–34, 158
- cultures of Computer vs. Investment People in, 203–206
- and dynamics of innovation, 2–5
- early performance investing in, 5–14
- employment in, xiii–xiv
- fees in, 30–34
- growth of index funds in, 14–15
- investment performance as symptom in, 185–187
- key propositions in, 192–193
- levels of, 157–162
- market changes and, 20–28
- modern capital theory in, 229–231
- multimarket multiproduct paradigm in, 215–220
- predicted future shortfalls in, 188–189
- research on active vs. passive investing, 16–20
- return to investment counseling in, 189–190
- signs of serious problems in, 181–190
- traditional vs. open operations in, 100–101
- Investment managers (generally):
- changing, 70, 83, 129–130, 137
- firm tenure for, 212
- in history of active investing, 8–9, 76–77
- identifying first-rate, xiv, xv, 18–19, 27
- justification of active investing by, 73–75, 84, 119–125
- number of, for institutional investors, 146–149
- open operations by, 99–105
- pension fund policy decisions by, 227–231, 228t, 229t
- specialization for, 215–218
- Investment manager performance:
- for active managers, 22–28, 33–35, 75, 77–79
- appearance vs. reality of, 193–194
- enhanced reporting of, 121
- expectations of, 80, 80f
- fees and, 201
- hiring/firing decisions based on, 129–130, 129f
- institutional underperformance and, 132–133
- measures of, 167–168
- volatility and, 128
- Investment manager selection:
- for active investing, 79
- informal system of, 5
- by investment consultants, 10–11, 18–19, 133–135
- level of decisions about, 64, 161
- past performance as basis for, 51–52
- policies on, 145–146, 149
- Investment objectives, 63, 67–68, 108–109, 144–146
- Investment philosophy drift, 187
- Investment policy:
- committee's responsibilities for, 144, 145, 151
- creating, for clients, 63, 69–71
- pension funds' decisions about, 227–231
- staying committed to, 44, 160–161, 196
- thought experiment on setting, 277–279
- Investment professionals. See also specific types
- culture of Computer People, 203–206
- errors made by, 47–59
- guidance from, for retirement security, 237–242
- investment counseling by, 55–58
- mission of, 49–53
- values of, 48, 53–55
- Investment program(s):
- competition and use of, 69–71
- designing customized, 56–57, 61–71
- developing your own, 171–172
- and future of active management, 71
- guidelines on, 274
- helping clients design, 56–57
- investors' self-knowledge in, 68–69
- levels of investor decisions in, 63–65
- market as distraction from, 66, 272
- realities to integrate in, 66–68
- winning triangle in, 63
- Investor decisions, levels of, 63–65, 161–162, 196–197
- IRAs (individual retirement accounts), 236
J
- Jensen, Michael, 16
- Johnson, Edwin C., 6
- Justice, 243–244
- Justice Department, 316, 317–323
K
- Kahneman, Daniel, 24–26, 29, 84
- Kelly, Walt, 70
- Kennedy, John F., and administration, 291–293
- Keynes. J. M., 5, 6
- Klingenstein, Joseph K., 109–110
- Kuhn, Thomas, 2, 4, 81, 83, 163
L
- Large-cap funds, 17, 75, 94–97
- Large-capitalization stocks, 74–75, 95–96, 117, 158
- Law of small numbers, 114
- Lay, Kenneth, 237
- Leaders of investment firms, 54–55, 221–226
- Learning, xv–xvi, 269–270
- Leverage, 275
- Lifecycle, of performance investing, 73–87, 95–96, 115–116
- Life-cycle funds, 58
- Life expectancy, 233–236, 247
- Ling-Temco-Vought, Inc., 311
- Liquidation, 299–300
- Liquidity, 96, 97, 145, 265–267
- Load funds, 32n55
- Lodge, Henry Cabot, 225
- Lombardi, Vincent, 40
- Long-Term Capital Management, 155
- Long-term investors, 69
- bonds for, 251–259, 261–263
- endowment model for, 155
- guidelines for, 269–276
- performance investors vs., 94
- thought experiment on policy-setting for, 277–279
- in traditional investment management, 100–101
- Loser's games, winner's games vs., 37–41, 62–63
- Loser's game of active investing, 33, 35–45, 50, 157
- beliefs about, 35–37
- future of, 71
- and levels of investor decisions, 161–162
- and self-destruction of winner's games, 41–43
- strategies for winning, 44–45
M
- Mahan, Alfred Thayer, 225–226
- Malkiel, Burt, 17, 30, 271
- Managed economy, 254
- Management, by investment committees, 142, 143
- Mao Tse-tung, 225n3
- Marginal cost of active management, 131
- Margin of safety, 68, 155
- Market(s):
- average performance of, 249
- Edwin C. Johnson on, 6
- as distraction from investment program, 66, 272
- fluctuations in, xv, 54, 67, 114, 145, 151, 251, 254
- global integration of, 123–124
- impact of Computer People on, 204
- major changes in, 20–28, 188
- portfolios constructed to withstand, 224
- reaction of, to share repurchases, 311–312
- and specialist manager paradigm, 217
- Market efficiency:
- Fama's hypothesis on, 16
- Ben Graham on, 289–290
- and history of active investing, 77, 79
- increasing, 1, 50–51, 74
- and returns for active management, 74, 165
- as social good, 123–124
- Market timing, xiv, 36, 70, 192, 265. See also Beating the market
- Markowitz, Harry, 16
- Martin-Marietta Inc., 304
- Massachusetts, Prudent Man Rule in, 252
- Massachusetts Investors Trust, 12
- Maury, Matthew Fontaine, 183
- Medicine, analytic model of, 182
- Mencken, H.L., 168
- Merrill Lynch, 76, 183
- Micawber;s law, 68
- Mies, van der Rohe, Ludwig, 44, 169
- Minnesota, income tax in, 292
- Mission:
- of investment committees, 138, 143–144
- of investment professionals, 49–53
- Mitchell Hutchins, 200
- Modern capital theory, 229–231
- Money Game, see Active “performance” investing
- Money market funds, 240, 249
- Monsanto Chemical Company, 311
- Moody's Utility Average, 255–257, 257t
- Morgan, J.P., 131, 153, 192, 207
- Morgan Bank, 200
- Morgan Guaranty Trust, 183
- Morningstar, 121
- Morrison, Samuel Elliot, 37, 39, 44
- Multimarket multiproduct paradigm, 215–220
- Munich Marathon, 107–109
- Mutual funds:
- demand for, 12–13
- fees for, 31, 32t, 67
- in history of active investing, 7–8, 75
- performance of, 11–13, 12f, 16, 81, 128
- switching, 160–161
- underperformance by, 23t, 24–28, 112–113, 112t, 157–158
N
- National retirement security problem, 243–250
- addressing, with fairness and justice, 243–244
- and asset mix for retirement funds, 249
- current scope of, 244
- defined-benefit vs. defined-contribution plans, 245–246
- five factors in retirement security, 247–248
- and retirement age, 245
- and Rule of 72 for compounding, 248–249
- Natural resource companies, 292
- Navigation, 183
- Neff, John, 169
- New York Edison Co., 287
- New York Stock Exchange (NYSE):
- amateur investors in, 74, 158–159, 194–195
- “incorrect” prices on, 289
- institutional investors in, 188, 194
- professional traders in, 271
- share repurchases and trading volume, 298
- trading volume, 20–22, 21t, 50, 76, 112
O
- Objectivity, 44–45
- Ogilvy, David, 208
- Open market transactions, repurchase, 311
- Open operations by investment managers, 99–105
- incentives for, 105
- information for, 102–103
- investment committees vs., 101–102
- and staff analysts, 103–104
- and traders, 104–105
- traditional investment management vs., 100–101
- Operations research, 204
- Opportunity costs, xiv–xv, 167–168, 251, 263, 305
- Optimism bias, 29, 70
- Optimum capital structure, 310–311
- Organized knowledge, need for, 283–284
- Ovid, 288
P
- Pareto's Law (80/20 Rule), 29–30, 84, 128
- Passive investing, 16–20, 122, 161. See also Indexing and index funds
- Past performance:
- enhanced reports of manager's, 132
- of investment strategies, 273
- manager selection based on, 51–52, 121
- predictive power of, 121, 193, 273
- Past-purchase rationalization, 28
- Patton, George S., 39
- Payment acceleration, 293
- Peel, Robert, 281
- Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, 240
- Pension funds:
- bond investments for, 251–259
- and fees, 200
- in history of active management, 8–10, 75–76
- investment committees of, 138
- policy decisions by, 227–231
- Prudent Man Rule for trustees of, 252, 253
- rate of return assumption for, 151
- and specialist manager paradigm, 216–217
- Pension plans, defined-benefit vs. defined-contribution, 239–242, 245–246
- Performance-based investing, see Active “performance” investing
- Per-share earnings, from share repurchases, 305–308, 312
- Peter Principle, 212
- Philadelphia National Bank, 316, 322
- Planning, strategy formation vs., 209–210
- Polaroid Corporation, 240
- Portfolio construction, for disruptive markets, 224
- Portfolio diversification, 167–170
- Portfolio management, 89–92, 101–102
- Portfolio turnover rate, 42
- Poverty, 124
- Power law curve, 114
- Price discovery, 74, 77–79, 84–85, 113–115, 122
- Price-earnings ratios, 96–97, 257–258, 288
- Princeton University, xv
- Priorities, of investment professionals, 53–55
- Private equity funds, 50
- Professional development, 210
- Professional investors, 111–117
- active investing by, 111–117
- difficulty of outperforming competition for, 113–114
- and history of active management, 19, 74, 114–116, 119, 159, 165
- market changes due to increase in, 20–28, 195, 271
- underperformance by, 112–113
- value proposition presented by, 116–117
- Profession of investment management:
- conflict between business and, 119, 208
- Ben Graham on, 282–283
- performance investing and, 77, 84–86
- performance of, 159, 160, 181
- retirement security as problem for, 238–243
- success in, 214
- Profitability, 25, 53, 100–105, 191–192
- Prudent Man Rule, 252–253
- Public policy, retirement security and, 240–244
Q
- Qualified Security Analysts, 282–283
R
- Railroad Retirement Act, 235
- Ramo, Simon, 37–39, 44
- Raskob, John J., 41
- Rational capital structures, 308–311
- Reality, appearance and, see Appearance and reality
- Regulation Fair Disclosure (Regulation FD), 22, 50, 74, 113
- Regulatory Agency Bill, 318–320
- Resistance to changing beliefs, xv, 30, 35–36, 163, 245
- Resources, identifying, 63, 67
- Retirement age, 233–236, 245, 247
- Retirement security:
- bond investments for, 261–263
- five factors in, 247–248
- guidance from investment professionals for, 237–242
- life expectancy, retirement age, and, 233–236
- as national problem, 243–250
- and need for investment counseling, 57–58
- Returns, fees as percentage of, xiv, 31–32, 52, 116, 123, 131, 199–200, 273
- Revenue Act (1964), 291–293
- Reverse dilution, 296–297, 297t, 310
- Risk, underperformance and, 51
- Risk-adjusted incremental returns, fees as percentage of, xiv, 31–32, 52, 79, 200
- Risk management, 144, 145, 151, 188, 230
- Risk tolerance, 69, 75, 168
- R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company, 302
- Robison, James, 308
- Rockwell-Standard Corporation, 311
- Rogers, Everett, 3, 4, 82, 83
- Roosevelt, Theodore, 225
- Roth, Allen, 18
- Rothschild, Baron, 284
- Rule of 72, for compounding, 248–249, 275–276
- Russell 1000 Index, 120
- Russell 2000 Index, 120
- Ruth, Babe, 179
S
- Sampling error, 186, 187
- Samsonite Corporation, 14
- Samuelson, Paul, 17–18
- Saving, 247, 249, 275
- Savings accounts, 62
- Scudder, Stevens & Clark, 9, 77
- SEC, see US Securities and Exchange Commission
- Secular trends, identifying, 114
- Securities. See also Bonds; Common stock
- exchanging of, 311
- short-term, corporate holdings in, 303, 303t
- Security analysis, as profession, 282–283
- Self-evaluation, investment committee, 146–151
- Self-knowledge, 68–69, 178–179, 224, 274
- Selling decisions, 44
- Senate Committee on Banking and Currency, 316, 319–320
- Senior securities, exchanging, 311
- Separate accounts, for fund executives, 135–136
- Servant leadership, 148
- Service-centric investment firms, 58–59
- Share repurchases, 295–313
- alternatives to, 301–304
- arguments against, 299–301
- benefits of reverse dilution, 296–297, 297t
- cost analysis for, 309–310
- market reaction to, 311–312
- and other methods of reducing shares, 311
- per-share earnings from, 305–308
- present practice, 297–298
- for rational capital structure, 308–311
- Sharpe, Bill, 16
- Sherman Antitrust Act, 316–317, 320
- Short-term securities, corporate holdings in, 303, 303t
- Shwed, Fred, 193–194
- Siegel, Jeremy, 262
- Signs, symptoms vs., 182
- Silver, Nate, 11, 121
- Skilling, Jeffrey, 237
- Small-capitalization stocks, 120, 158
- Small numbers, law of, 114
- Smith, Adam, 5–7, 64
- Snow, C.P., 203
- Social Security benefits, xv, 234, 236, 249, 275
- Society, benefits of active investing for, 123–125
- “Soft” decisions, 209
- Sohio, 292
- S&P 500 Index, 36–38, 43, 69, 157, 183–185
- SPDRs (Standard + Poor's Depositary Receipts), 15n27
- Specialist manager paradigm, 215–217
- Speculation, 75, 189, 286–288
- Spending, 151–153, 247–249
- SPIVA (S&P Indices Versus Active) data, xiv
- Staff analysts, 103–104
- Standard Oil, 239
- Standard + Poor's Depositary Receipts (SPDRs), 15n27
- Standards, defining, 91
- Stanley-Warner, 292
- State Street Fund, 12
- Stockholders, repurchase as unfair to, 301
- Stockholder standard reappraisal index, 304–308, 307t, 310
- Stock prices:
- investor mistakes related to, 275
- long-term view of, 66, 272
- performance investing and, 96–97
- and rise of professional investors, 115
- Strategy:
- investment firm, 209, 221–226
- investment program, 63
- phases of, 100
- planning vs. forming, 209–210
- tactics and, 222–225
- for winning at loser's game, 44–45
- Stubbornness, 223–224
- Subjective meaning, of numbers, 233–234
- Sun Tzu, 224–225
- Supreme Court, U.S., 316, 321–322
- Surplus, distribution of, 302
- Swensen, David, 68, 144, 225
- Symptoms, signs vs., 182
T
- Tactics, strategy and, 222–225
- Target-date funds, 58
- Taxes, 22n37, 291–293
- Technology:
- for analysis, 182–184
- and culture of Computer People, 203–206
- taking advantage of, 225, 226
- Tender offers, 311
- Tenure, at successful firms, 212
- Thomas, Lewis, 182
- Tipping point, 3, 82
- Tisch, Larry, 169
- Tobin, James, 68, 152
- Top Quartile results, xiv, 128, 149, 163
- Total Financial Portfolio, xv, 263, 275
- Traders, 94, 104–105
- Trading frequency, 67, 189, 272
- Trust, in professionals, 237–238
- Trustees, Prudent Man Rule for, 252–253
- TRW Inc., 304
- Tsai, Gerry, 7
- Turnover:
- investment, 224–225, 272
- and investment committee best practices, 148–150
- investment manager, 149–150, 186, 212
- at successful firms, 212
U
- UAW (United Auto Workers), 8, 216
- UCLA (University of California, Los Angeles), 286
- Uncertainty, 95, 222
- Underperformance:
- and active investing, 43, 116–117
- for institutional investors, 127–139
- by investment firms, 207
- by investment managers, 186–189
- of mutual funds, 23t, 24–28, 112–113, 112t, 157–158
- by professional investors, 112–113
- and risk, 51
- United Auto Workers (UAW), 8, 216
- US Department of Labor (DOL), 239, 246
- US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), 22, 74, 113, 238–239, 246, 312
- US Treasury, 261, 262
- University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), 286
- U.S. Express Co., 286
- U.S. Steel, 287
- Utility function, 69
- Utility industry, tax cuts in, 292
V
- Values:
- of investment firms, 210
- of investment professionals, 48, 53–55
- Value discovery, 85, 87
- Value proposition, 77–78, 116–117, 131
- Vanguard, 11–12, 14
W
- Wall of money, 153
- Washington Post Company, 169
- Weighted average cost-of-capital analysis, 309–310
- Wells Fargo, 14
- West, Mae, 55, 160
- Williams, Charles M. “Charlie,” 315, 316
- Williams, Serena and Venus, 62
- Williams, Ted, 177–180
- Winner's game(s):
- achieving your objective in, 108–109
- active investing as, 33–34, 41–42
- correcting errors by investment professionals in, 47–59
- developing your own plan for, 171–172
- indexing and ETFs in, 163–165
- investment programs in, 61–71
- loser's games vs., 37–41, 62–63
- self-destruction of, 41–43
- strategies for turning loser's game into, 44–45
- Winning triangle, 63
- Wolfe, Tom, 30
- Woods, Tiger, 62
- Wright, J. D., 304
Y
- Yale University, xv, 68, 144, 183, 221, 269, 316
- Yield, on bonds vs. equities, 255–257, 262
- Young, Alan, 295